Published 6 months ago
It is hard to miss the self-congratulatory mood in Beijing's corridors of power these days. The Chinese Communist party was practically written off after its army crushed the pro-democracy movement in Tiananmen Square on June 4 1989. At home, it faced a shocked and resentful population. Internationally, it was isolated. The fall of communism in the former Soviet bloc further demoralised its members.
Twenty years later, things could hardly be more different. China is riding high as a new economic and geopolitical giant. The party's rule has never felt more secure.
Chinese leaders appear to believe that they have discovered the magic formula for political survival: a one-party regime that embraces capitalism and globalisation. Abroad, the party's success raises fears that it has established a viable new model for autocratic rule.
As the world commemorates the 20th anniversary of the Tiananmen tragedy, it is time to reflect on how the party has held on to power against seemingly impossible odds and whether the strategy it has pursued since Tiananmen will continue to sustain its political monopoly.
Clearly, the most important explanation for the party's apparent resilience is its ability to deliver consistently high growth. However, largely through trial and error, the party has also developed a complementary and quite sophisticated political strategy to strengthen its power base.
A lesson taken from the Tiananmen debacle by the party's leaders is that elite unity is critical to its survival. The political necessity of launching China's economic reforms in the late 1970s required the party to form a grand alliance of liberals, technocrats and conservatives. But the liberals and the conservatives constantly clashed during the 1980s, over both the speed and the direction of reform.
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Published 6 months ago
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Published 11 months ago
The Chinese government is moving to crush a group of prominent dissidents and intellectuals that has released a rallying call for democracy, human rights and rule of law. The group of about 300 writers, peasant farmers, students, professors, journalists, economists, and political activists from across the country all signed a document, known as Charter 08, that provides a detailed and wide-ranging blueprint for peaceful political, legal and economic reform in China. Since then, nearly 7,000 Chinese and foreign intellectuals inside and outside the country have signed Charter 08, which warns of “the possibility of a violent conflict of disastrous proportions” if Beijing does not quickly move to reform the one-party authoritarian state. Chinese intellectuals and dissidents are calling the document the most significant of its kind for at least a decade and possibly since the 1989 Tiananmen Square protests. Its name is a reference to Charter 77, the 1977 call for human rights issued by dissidents in former Czechoslovakia. It has provoked increasing concern among China's leaders. Since it began circulating one of the organisers has been detained without charge and friends and relatives had no word of his whereabouts until Friday. At least 70 of the Charter's 303 original signatories have been summoned or interrogated by police and China's powerful Central Propaganda Department has warned all domestic media not to interview or carry articles by anyone who signs the charter. The interrogations gathered momentum this week and all those called in have been ordered to retract their support for the Charter. The government appears to be concerned by the heady language and the prominence of many of the signatories, who include mid-level government officials and Communist party academics. The charter was made public through the internet on December 10 to mark the 60th anniversary of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights and comes on the eve of the 20th anniversary, on June 4, of the Tiananmen Square massacre, which it explicitly mentions. Senior officials have shown increasing public concern over the potential for unrest as a result of lay-offs and crumbling growth. The charter could serve as a rallying call for up to 1.5m unemployed recent graduates. Liu Xiaobo, a prominent literary critic, dissident and apparently one of the organisers of Charter 08, was detained by state security officers on December 8. After nearly a month without word of his whereabouts and no formal charges, Mr Liu's wife was allowed to meet him on the outskirts of Beijing on Friday and was told he was being held under house arrest at an undisclosed location, according to rights groups. His detention appears to be a violation of China's own criminal law, which states that a suspect subjected to “residential surveillance” must be held in their own home, say to rights activists. Source:FTCHINESE
Published 13 months ago
Residents of Shanghai's Qigan village have been waiting for a decade for the city and Disney to announce that a theme park will be built in the area, which is made up of farmland, canals and dense woods. That day may be drawing near. Many Chinese believe it's just a matter of weeks, if not days, before a deal is announced for a theme park in the Asian nation's largest city. But a Disney spokeswoman says there's no deal. Reporting from Shanghai -- For two decades Chinese officials and Walt Disney Co. have batted around ideas for a theme park in the eastern fringes of Shanghai, only to see them go nowhere. "People have always been saying they'll build here," said Sun Jinbao, 61, a farmer near Zhaohang village, where several years ago Disney executives stood on the roof of a three-story building, peering out at the rice fields and wooded lands. But now the excitement is building again. And this time, many people here and outside think it's just a matter of weeks, perhaps days, before a deal is announced. Some Chinese are so confident that they've loaded up on shares of companies with interests in this part of the Pudong district where a theme park would be most likely to go up. Jielong Group, a printing firm that holds the rights to about 50 acres of land in the vicinity, has seen its stock price nearly double in the last month. Others are building or expanding existing homes in the area, despite a ban on new housing development, and transferring registrations of family members from other locales -- all in hopes of enhancing potential relocation packages, which are typically based on home and household size. "You want to buy land?" villagers ask when a visitor comes around. The recent buzz has been fanned by Chinese media reports saying that Disney and Shanghai officials had come to terms, with the Burbank-based entertainment giant easing up on some of its earlier demands because of the current financial climate. A Disney spokeswoman in Hong Kong, Alannah Hall-Smith, responded that there was "no deal, no announcement." But informed Shanghai officials, among others, believe that the project is pretty much settled. All that's needed, they say, is a stamp of approval from leaders in Beijing at a key economic planning session expected to be held this month. "The meaning of introducing Disneyland to China right now is completely different from years ago," said Yang Jianwen, deputy chief engineer of Shanghai's Municipal Economic Commission, who was involved in the early planning of the project. The reason: China's once-supercharged economy has slowed sharply in recent months, threatening social stability. With the world gripped in an economic downturn, analysts say Disney and Shanghai both stand to get a boost from a major development project in these hard times. The central government recently unveiled a nearly $600-billion economic stimulus package that includes supporting housing, healthcare, transportation and other infrastructure projects. A Disney theme park in Shanghai would build on that, Yang said. "It's one of the most effective ways to stimulate social investment as well as consumption," he said. Shanghai, China's largest city, has been keenly interested in attracting a Disney park since at least 1990, when its then-mayor, Zhu Rongji, visited Disneyland in Anaheim and had dinner with Frank Wells, the late president of Disney. Zhu later went on to become China's premier and maintained ties with Disney officials. "As the mayor, he wanted to put Shanghai more on the map," recalled Fred Hong, who as a young Los Angeles lawyer at the time was acting as an intermediary between Shanghai and Disney. Hong said Zhu knew that the Pudong district would develop -- today it is home to mainland China's financial hub and its tallest building -- but Disney didn't think the city was ready then for a theme park. "They assessed it was too early for Shanghai," said Hong, whose law office is based in Guangzhou. For Disney, expanding into mainland China in a big way has been an elusive goal, in large part because of Beijing's restrictive policies toward foreign media and entertainment operations. The company has long sought to launch a Disney Channel in China, so it could air more programs to a wider number of Chinese households, which would drive sales of its videos and merchandise. Because China limits the showing of foreign films in theaters, Disney relies on television to introduce new audiences to such classic characters as Mickey Mouse and Winnie the Pooh, as well as to screen Pixar Animation and Disney films. Such exposure to the Disney pantheon of characters is considered crucial for the success of a theme park. Media analysts in China, however, doubt that Beijing will give unconditional approval for a Disney Channel in return for the theme park. "But if ever there was a time, it'd be now," said David Wolf, a Beijing-based industry consultant, referring to the central government's drive to keep the economy growing rapidly to create enough jobs. Village leaders in Pudong say they have heard from unofficial sources that relocation of residents would begin next June. It wouldn't be until 2012 -- two years after the Shanghai World Expo -- that the park would open, according to state-run media reports The size of a Shanghai park has been variously estimated at 1,000 acres (similar to the original Disneyland in Anaheim) to more than double that. The cost would probably be several billion dollars. In building the 320-acre Hong Kong Disneyland that opened in 2005, the government put up $2.9 billion for the park and related infrastructure development, while Disney invested $314 million. Yang, of Shanghai's economic commission, says city officials considered Chongming Island, just north of Shanghai, as a potential site for a theme park. But the Pudong area had a major advantage: easier access. The site most likely to be chosen for the new Disneyland would be just minutes away by car from Pudong International Airport and along the path of the city's 268-mile-per-hour maglev train. Plans would allow travelers passing through Shanghai to visit the park on a special 48-hour visa. Kang Fuxiang, head of Qigan village, said the blueprints he saw a few years ago showed the project taking up about half of his village lands. The park would also occupy parts of several other rural communities in the Chuansha area, where foreigners come to ride horses. On a recent afternoon, it wasn't hard to spot newly renovated or enlarged homes here. Some residents insisted it wasn't aimed at collecting higher relocation payments, although neighbors said otherwise. Even residents who don't expect to be moved are still hoping that Disney will come soon. "Sure, we want them; our house will increase in value," said Shuai Zhonghua, 23, who with his wife owns a three-bedroom apartment down the street from their screen-window business. Closer to the expected Disneyland site, the mere mention of Disney gets some people fired up. "Of course we're excited," said Hua Kunde, standing outside his little ramshackle market that faces a patch of browning farmlands. The 62-year-old native of Qigan village, population 2,500, said his house was right behind his store. "The government will have some policy to move us," he said, flashing a smile. He pointed to one of his neighbors, who Hua claimed had moved her adult daughter's family registration to Qigan to collect a bigger relocation windfall. The woman repeatedly denied that she did anything wrong. Other villagers have grown weary of such talk. Kang, Qigan's 52-year-old chief, says his village lands have been reserved by the government for the Disneyland project for a decade. "We sincerely hope and welcome Disney to come to our village," Kang said. "If Disney won't come, just let us know," he added, his voice tinged with irritation. "But just don't keep us suspended for so long again."
Published 13 months ago
U.S. companies say a purposely undervalued yuan gives Chinese exporters an unfair advantage.
Beijing -- The deepening world economic crisis and a possible spat over currency levels hung in the air as the U.S. and China sat down Thursday to discuss the future of their economic relations.
U.S. officials say Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson will press Beijing at the two-day Strategic Economic Dialogue to let its yuan rise against the dollar to ease trade tensions. U.S. companies contend that China keeps the yuan undervalued, giving its exporters an unfair advantage and adding to its trade surplus.
But with China's exporters suffering, the yuan plunged Monday in government-controlled trading -- a possible message to Washington to go easy on the issue. "The signal China sent on Monday is: We also have our own political problems and issues in a slowing economic environment," Frank F.X. Gong, chief Asia economist for JPMorgan Securities, said in a report to clients.
State media said Thursday that a rapid rise of the Chinese currency would harm the global economy further because it would hurt Chinese exports and increase unemployment.
The twice-a-year dialogue, launched in 2006, is meant as a relationship-building exercise rather than a forum for negotiation. But Treasury Undersecretary David McCormick said this week that officials would urge China to continue allowing the yuan to rise -- a key issue for U.S. lawmakers who are pressing for punitive action if Beijing fails to act quickly on trade complaints.
Both economies are struggling, the U.S. with a recession and China with a sharp slowdown in growth. Keeping one of the world's biggest trading relationships stable may be of global importance.
Beijing broke a direct link between its yuan and the dollar in July 2005 and let its currency rise about 20% since then.