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Is this supposed to be comparing to China Virus? The influenza has been around for thousands of years, this one has only been around for months. Give it some time to spread and you will see much worse numbers.
It’s got a long, long, long way to go and likely/hopefully won’t get there. These current CDC numbers for influenza is just the United States.
I have been telling him the same all along…and sadly, he won’t listen.
This is what I wrote a while ago:
“The significance of nonlinear and chaotic nature of COVID-19 means that no methods are available to predict exactly at what point in time the epidemic will emerge as an outbreak, just like volcanoes and earthquakes”
And let me repeat it here:
OK, let me ask you…why are you pretending to be stupid?
First of all, the virus has been spreading in the US since the end of January. Everything else is a speculation. Death rate for H1N1 was 0.02%, for coronavirus it is 3.4%. We can even take the best case scenario and say it is 0.7%. It is still 35 times worse than for H1N1. Multiply 35 by 12.470 and you get this number- 436.415. Let’s not even compare hospitalization rates.
Once again…how can you even compare a period of less than two months with a period of a year? The coronavirus is, sadly, expected to grow.
Tell me when we are getting close.