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The numbers aren’t even close.
You are right, not even close. The reproduction number (R0) for the coronavirus is between 1.6 and 2.5. For swine flu it was between 1.4 and 1.6. Death rate was 0.0001%, whereas for new coronavirus it is around 3%.
Over 12,000 American deaths in 2009 and over 60 million infected with H1N1… Where are we at today with Covid19??
Are you aware of the fact that you are comparing something that has been going on for less than two months, with numbers for swine flu over a period of one year?
Covid 19…the 19 come from the year 2019. Approaching 4 months and probably longer because the Chinese hid it for 1-3 months according to reports. So take 25% of the H1N1 numbers to be more than fair. Do we have 3000 American deaths or 15 million infected yet? Ummm, no.
OK, let me ask you…why are you pretending that you are stupid?
First of all, the virus has been spreading in the US since the end of January. Everything else is a speculation. Death rate for H1N1 was 0.02%, for coronavirus it is 3.4%. We can even take the best case scenario and say it is 0.7%. It is still 35 worse than for H1N1. Multiply 35 by 12.470 and you get this number- 436.415. Let’s not even compare hospitalization rates.
Once again…how can you even compare a period of less than two months with a period of a year? The coronavirus is, sadly, expected to grow.
China has probably had it since October or November. We had free travel to and from China until Trump banned it. We’ve likely had it for several months now. Even with our current hypersensitivity and testing for it, our numbers remain low. A doctor today even stated if you add in the number of likely unknown infections (little to no symptoms and not tested) the mortality rate is probably very low and less than 1%. As for my comparing months to a full year. I already did that math for you. You probably failed to read again or understand how 25% of a year works.
335 a day die from the common flu. Again, let’s have a serious talk if actual numbers dictate it. We are still counting deaths and infections 1 by 1 because there are so few.
Yeah, let’s have a serious talk if the numbers even reach 25% of the 2009 H1N1. Right now it’s not even close after 3-4 months in. Did you even read it or look at the numbers? Apparently not.
Here are some projected numbers for you:
Of course I stopped reading right after I realized that you were comparing a period of one year with a period of less than 2 months.
I guess we shall see. Right now, it’s not even comparable and I don’t believe your article figures in a timeline unless I missed it. People still die from H1N1 today. In the meantime, I’d say wash your hands often and get some cardio in.